Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1064.192922 1205.744386 1362.584950 1549.859339 1768.171900 2015.563669 2318.448819
2025-09-07 855.971269 1045.689091 1275.527496 1577.074842 1966.114971 2456.363342 3129.256151
2025-09-14 713.144627 914.010718 1171.762439 1531.622146 2028.839613 2703.311595 3707.862256
2025-09-21 614.315855 817.176493 1089.461683 1488.877472 2072.234882 2913.142077 4254.963502
2025-09-28 537.115820 736.600051 1014.479254 1439.316625 2089.730211 3077.772577 4752.931567
2025-10-05 503.755378 711.613590 1011.856231 1490.065244 2257.602901 3487.493385 5707.984281
2025-10-12 468.957920 679.701973 993.908198 1512.778184 2381.505991 3842.594493 6638.163945
2025-10-19 437.976278 649.658302 974.442294 1528.808773 2493.952131 4192.563879 7627.500081
2025-10-26 410.785786 622.370336 955.679545 1542.334476 2601.839119 4548.688444 8701.647599
2025-11-02 392.657366 607.404649 954.610492 1584.686778 2765.353842 5032.184408 10142.396629
2025-11-09 371.933672 586.101911 940.523220 1601.674100 2882.905626 5444.409549 11525.577535
2025-11-16 352.183714 564.553905 923.665513 1611.054633 2986.026000 5843.105115 12974.346936
2025-11-23 333.043775 543.108528 906.122712 1619.388880 3093.164139 6280.331566 14665.172786
2025-11-30 318.406029 528.335764 899.218827 1647.733869 3247.107509 6853.439095 16886.461217
2025-12-07 294.800877 495.651315 856.507765 1599.891113 3230.004059 7027.471308 18070.432445
2025-12-14 273.935658 466.295147 817.405129 1554.900982 3212.551568 7197.174720 19294.862518
2025-12-21 254.160903 437.494406 776.963058 1502.751645 3171.498896 7300.916632 20354.916777
2025-12-28 248.490681 434.473860 785.853610 1556.150993 3385.339108 8104.642608 23928.540978
2026-01-04 239.871037 425.168376 781.485808 1580.055659 3531.653777 8759.417429 27258.337003
2026-01-11 231.131514 414.960401 774.376876 1596.929323 3663.046151 9401.690792 30808.644761
2026-01-18 222.748363 404.828162 766.531378 1611.167619 3789.969567 10060.173476 34710.250776
2026-01-25 217.735628 401.004931 771.432433 1655.758557 4004.986432 11038.728429 40386.121078
2026-02-01 210.618697 392.418845 765.494544 1673.646869 4149.964590 11832.385310 45674.093998